An idea for 2020

I was pondering the calendar for this year as I drove along at work the other day and the implications “the current situation” might have on my ability to even shop. Before I even get to the obvious solutions (mail order, usual online grocery shop, etc) I let my mind wander into the idea I’m about to present and before I decide just to go with another regular calendar I wanted to float it and hear some feedback.

The calendar choice is getting ever more stressful, as I anticipate that the template that any major (or even less major) Advent Calendar manufacturer uses is unchanged year-to-year and in any event I’d have to pay to find out. The result is I try to find obscure, often foreign, suppliers, and then save the calendar for a year or two so that if a design is changed, it’ll work in my favour. I do actually have a calendar from a previous year but it came from a retail chain and having wandered through said chain again, I see the exact same design (on the front at least) is on sale again. Anxiety heightened…

My mind wandering fixed not only the unnecessary shopping problem but would absolutely stop anyone from being able to buy the calendar – because I would be making it myself. My proposal is that for 2020 I manufacture the Advent Calendar myself, and in a bid to totally set it apart from the calendars previously seen I would hide 24 Christmas Films behind the doors. I would arrange them in the order I would watch them in a hypothetical world where I had to watch these 24 films in the lead up to Christmas and I could only watch one per day.

I can think of pros and cons myself but I am keen to hear from potential players about what they think – the question “would this put you off playing this year” being one I’m especially keen to hear about. Leave comments here or on Facebook or Twitter, please!

2019 review, and a small confession

Comments scattered across various social medias implied we had a very random calendar this year but despite this, a huge congratulations to two-time former winner Andrew Chilcraft who broke the World Record score for the Advent Calendar Challenge – and to Håkan Wolgé, who broke it by more! It was Håkan’s first win in the challenge, having previously had a best finish of sixth back in 2018.

In the team’s championship, Leo stormed to their fifth victory in seven years. They had more players, which of course helps, but a superb effort all round Leos! I might be tempted to try and even out the effects of uneven teams going forward, but it’s way down the list of priorities!

So to my mini confession. I’m happy to class the source of this year’s calendar as an Advent Calendar, but to describe it as a thing with doors is a stretch. Two years ago the NSPCC Christmas lights on Oxford Street in London looked like this:

Doors 1-6 of this year's advent calendar
Doors 1-6 of this year's advent calendar
Doors 7-12 of this year's advent calendar
Doors 7-12 of this year's advent calendar
Doors 13-18 of this year's advent calendar
Doors 13-18 of this year's advent calendar
Doors 19-24 of this year's advent calendar
Doors 19-24 of this year's advent calendar

I get constantly nervous that one year the challenge will be ruined by someone having the same calendar I am using, so have over the year employed various tactics to try and prevent it – foreign calendars, using old calendars. This is the first time I used a giant calendar suspended high above a famous London street from history! I hope I am forgiven for such subterfuge!

Happy Christmas to everyone, and wishing you all a prosperous 2020. See you next November for the 2020 running of the ACC 🙂

Last quarter

We are now three-quarters of the way through this year’s Advent Calendar Challenge – yet again we have Santa appearing for the first time before day 24. A quick glance reveals that 2014 was the last time Santa made it’s first appearance on Christmas Eve. The downside is no-one scored today, but that was kinda predictable! I didn’t make the calendar so it’s obviously out of my control!

A quick note on the matters raised in the previous post. On dummy/red-herring answers, I will think about this before the 2020 challenge further, maybe with some thinking-out-loud analysis: watch this space! On the other matter, on whether to hide guesses after day 18 or not, I have a compromise. The compromise was partially inspired when I was asked by a competitor privately if I would hide guesses or not. I replied I intended to leave things as they were (i.e. hidden after window 18) and that I would make the announcement in this blog post today. The competitor pointed out that I had just given them a possible advantage in that they could now take a copy of everyone’s guesses, knowing what was about to come. It got me thinking – whilst it’s a slight advantage only because everyone could take such a copy at any time, there’s a half-way approach between the two I asked you to choose between in the last post, and it is that approach that I have settled on.

So from now on*, guesses made after the opening of window 18 will be hidden. Guesses made before that point will not be. Trial basis, and we’ll see how it goes.

Six days left. Good luck everyone!

-* it’s not been implemented properly – the official rules pdf is pending update, and the censorship still applies on individual profile pages. Those will be fixed tomorrow!

History of guessing

At the end of this post, having stream-of-consciousness-style rambled about things for a few paragraphs, I’m going to invite readers to maybe prevent me making a rule change that I might regret, so do read on!

Long term players will remember how it used to be, of course, when it comes to guessing. Newer players might only know the way it is now. As I type, in 2019, players make their guess from a list of items that contains only those things that actually appear in the calendar. It has been this way for a few years, having evolved – the first time a list appeared was in 2013 and that contained 36 items, i.e. anything up to twelve (I can’t remember exactly how many) red herrings. This was decreased to 30 items (i.e. up to six red herrings) the next year, and then down to the current zero red herrings system in 2015. It has been that way ever since, and I am, broadly speaking, a fan. One stage I would like to take it to, and might well do for next year, is to include a single red herring – this would give everyone a choice to make on day 24; I think it is possibly a weakness of the system that anyone paying attention can gain themselves 24 points on the final day. That said, to do this might not be compatible with the next thing I’d like to turn my attention to, and this is the main point of this post.

Currently guesses are hidden from everyone – including the players that made them – after the 18th day. I reasoned that it didn’t matter if you didn’t know your own guess, as you could simply assess what you’d want it to be and submit it again. The reason the guesses were hidden in the first place was to prevent a situation where a player could secure a victory simply by matching the guess of the players behind them in the table rather than guessing “properly”. In the current days where everyone normally ends up on the same guess by the end anyway this is probably rather redundant, and in any case, if you have established a lead then maybe this could be seen as a reward for doing so? In any event it’s unlikely just one player (especially on the current scoring system) will be close behind and you can’t neutralise the guess of more than one player at once anyway…

So I guess I am giving provisional notice of two changes: (1) to be implemented this year: I am proposing that guesses are no longer hidden after day 18 as I assess that it is largely redundant to do so, and (2) to be implemented from 2020 onwards: to add one dummy item to the selection list to give players a choice to make on day 24.

There are surely side-effects to these choices that I haven’t thought through, so please leave comments (either for or against) if you have an opinion on the above. Much appreciated, thank you!

2019 windows

As stated in my previous post, I’m in a position to reveal what is behind the windows this year – just not which windows these items appear behind! In alphabetical order:

  •  bauble
  • bell
  • candy cane
  • carrot
  • christmas tree
  • cracker
  • gift
  • gingerbread man
  • glove
  • holly
  • ice skate
  • reindeer
  • robin
  • rocking horse
  • santa
  • shooting star
  • sleigh
  • snow globe
  • snowflake
  • snowman
  • stocking
  • sweets
  • woolly hat
  • wreath

Without wishing to be too revealing (there’s some things you should have to do yourself), I make that two new items, lots of old favourites, and a couple of weird ones. PINs should be coming out on Thursday, but I have a busy day that day so they might end up with you tomorrow night instead. Exciting times!

2019 update, and the history and future of the code that was broken

So the good news is I think it’s all back working. It’s hard I can’t be bothered to test fully without simulating a whole competition – I ask for everyone’s patience and to report anything weird to me so it be fixed immediately! The items in the drop-down list on the guess form ARE the items that appear in the year’s calendar, so you may start strategising now! Guesses will open in a few days, unless you want to go ahead and guess your new PIN 🙂

The various website systems being broken wasn’t a problem that wouldn’t have occurred back in the first running of competition – sixteen years ago (another one of those “wow, I feel old” moments) in 2003. The story is told on the 2003 page and goes something like this – I had a Boohbah Advent Calendar, bought for me by me, as I remember¹. I cannot think how that escalated into a competition to guess the pictures but evidently it did – I do however remember how it was run. The thirteen players comprised me, my eight closest neighbours at uni, a girl™, two of my family and randomly, a friends mum².

And it was a very manual process that year – those that lived in my block at uni could just tell me, and I would otherwise take guesses by phone and by email. I would manually update the website each day and them inform each player if they had scored. I would request guesses rather than leave them in place. I would update everyone on how it was going rather than just leave the onus on the players. I couldn’t last and it was the only year which operated this way. By 2004 the code that still largely (albeit tweaked) runs the website today was written, and I haven’t looked back since.

I was going to write about how the 2003 running panned out, but I’ll leave that for another time. The fact that the code remains largely that I wrote 15 years ago frustrates me a bit, but as I have previously written here – motivating myself to rewrite the code out-of-season is a bit of a push when it comes to motivating, and once it is the season I am using the site so feel less inclined to play with it. The solution is developing a new site alongside with a copy of all the data, obviously. I’ll try.

The site look remains that of my website at the time – which is essentially aping the F1 Digital service’s onscreen graphics (the service existed from 1996-2002 in various countries around the world, but only 2002 in the UK. These graphics existed towards the end of its life). Blues and yellows and greys – in fact here are a few screen grabs I’ve cobbled together from YouTube. Look familiar?

Screengrabs from F1 Digital in 2002 – lovingly known at the time as “Bernievision”

I’m slowly letting go of these but I want to let them go completely. I envisage a more Christmassy coloured site, but more importantly than the colour scheme I want to get away from the things it’s locking in. The “messages from competition control” for example. I am 100% convinced that I could show data items currently shown here in a better way, for example. I also want to overhaul the stats pages a bit and not having a “graphics template” to work to will, I hope, allow me greater freedoms.

Maybe next year then? We’ll see…

¹ I didn’t even know what a Boohbah was then, and frankly couldn’t explain very well if you asked me now! But that wasn’t important…
² A theme that went on to be repeated in future years, though for some reason they never seem to last!

2019

I recently moved house and that’s been a bit of a focus of late – it was only earlier this afternoon that I got to thinking how it was only a week to go and I should do the necessary behind-the-scenes bits to get the website into 2019 mode.

An aside – 20 November being “a week to go” is a statistic I’m interested in testing. Using the date of the first database entry each year, we get an idea of the launch date each year!

(data only exists from 2006 onwards)

Had to do a couple of tweaks to make the database query work – one year the competition carried on into the new year because of reasons, and other years robots click buttons in random months and record things in the database. But there we have it, and displayed another way:

Data correct as at 20 November 2019

In short, my assertion today that I am a week away seems to be bang on – 27 November is by far the most popular date for me to launch, and last year’s 28 was in the early hours making it reasonably likely I sent those emails late the day before too! I’m also interested to see that I have started the whole thing as early as EIGHT days away a couple of times – that just seems crazy to me now!

On to news about this year’s competition now and it isn’t great (for me at least) this year. This website’s host has upgraded its servers and as a result the code that powers the ACC is COMPLETELY broken. It’ll probably take a week to get going, and even then it may well be a bit of a bodge job just to get the basic functionality back without necessarily doing it well. That complete rewrite is needed more than ever!

But anyway let this be my pledge, in this election season, that in the next week I’ll devote my time to this whenever I can and the 2019 Advent Calendar Challenge will launch, on time, on 27 November. Possibly the 28th. Heck, even if the website can’t be made to work, I reckon we can work something more manual out…

Data, and some expected news

Expected news first: I haven’t found time to even start re-writing the site, so the creaky cobbled together version that has been in use since forever will be needed again – I’ll complete some tests to ensure it all still works in the next few days, ahead of a launch sometime in the last week of the month. I have also found to time to acquire the Advent Calendar and I now know what objects will be appearing this year. I might do a post to “unveil” them as if they were celebrities on a reality TV show over the weekend!

Here in the EU (technically still correct) a thing called GDPR came into effect in the last 12 months. I am not a data protection expert by any means but I hope I am sensitive to it. A friend for whom GDPR caused a considerable amount of work advises that I am all good and compliant here so that’s great, but it has got me thinking about what data I hold on all the players and if there are any issues as a result.

So all players willingly gave me their details in order to play – that’s important. I’ve never sent emails to non players, and if a player ignores their “welcome email” one year then they don’t receive another until they themselves ask to play again. I’m happy with this system especially as it is entirely manual – there’s no chance of this website sending rogue emails. At all.

Email addresses aren’t even stored in the website database – they are all in my Gmail contacts book. So yeah, in theory a breach at Google could cause problems, but I’d say that that problem wouldn’t be mine. But I think I could possibly do better with what data I do storeL I’ll explain. Here’s a snapshot of what I have for each player:

The two id numbers are assigned by the site for administrative reasons so don’t represent any meaningful personal data. Forename and surname though do, and it has always been a policy to change these upon request – hence why, for example, “Lord Byron” was a player last year. I’ve debated changing to online handles but I like the names thing – if you prefer your real names not to be used then get in touch and we can come up with a suitable alias!

Gender is stored and is essentially binary (the field stores either F, M or X) – its only use is for the news feed to determine whether  player has changed his/her/their guess. I think this is unnecessary data (albeit arguably harmless) to have stored and will remove that before the competition starts. Nationality is an odd one and dates back to the first couple of instances of the competition where the website, aping F1 on-screen graphics, displayed a player’s nationality. That’s all it did. Unless you played on those first few competitions the data held against you in that field will be blank in any case. Will definitely be removed for this year.

The final bit of data in the database is star-sign data for each player – this has long been the basis for a “teams championship” and I guess is somewhat traditional now. I really don’t know where I stand on this data – it would help narrow down a players date of birth to within a month but not any particular year. It absolutely does represent personal data and arguably data I don’t need too, but (based on the fact that it has to have been volunteered willingly) it’s data I think I can argue I need and I am happy to keep it. Obviously I can and will delete it on request – the site already handles the data not being present and so there’s no major dramas here.

The last thing I have a silly 200×200 profile picture for competitors, stored off database in a folder on the web server. These were brought in to make player profile pages a bit less intimidatingly statty, but otherwise serve no real purpose. They aren’t present for every player and are several years old for some. Ashamedly I think I acquired them without consent in many cases so I think I know what needs to be done here. They’ll be removed before the start of the competition this year.

If you have any opinions or worries regarding the data I have on you and how I use it, please do get in touch. 16 days to go!

2 months to go

There are two months to go until the first window of the 2018 Advent Calendar Challenge Advent Calendar is opened, and time to update you on things, I guess!

First up: if you have recently browsed into the homepage for any reason in this off-season you might have noticed a mild redesign – I started with the intention of trying to closely match the template this blog uses but it wasn’t as straight forward as it seemed… long-term I want to make it a bit more Christmassy looking – there is no mental template but I assume at this stage it’ll be purples and greens and reds and whites but we’ll see!

So anyway I got to the stage where I had mimicked the blog template slightly and this is what you see now, but then reason two for wanting a redesign came up – the code is not well written (it’s essentially the same code as I wrote for it in 2004 that has over the years had things bolted on as the need to came up). A ground-up rewrite is the order of the day I think, and so that is the task I will endeavour to undertake between now and the end of November. It’s been 15 years in the making though, so I wouldn’t hold your breath, but in the interests of progress I’ve taken a copy of the database for testing purposes. I’ll keep you informed!

The occasional hiccup

In what was an Advent Calendar Challenge first yesterday, I completely forgot to open the advent calendar before the end of the day. I say “first” – there have been other times when I’ve failed to open the window in time but that was emergency surgery related back in 2009, and, luckily, just before the end of the competition so it was reasonably easy to sort out.

I am currently on a whirlwind tour of my home county visiting various friends and family members for a sort-of early Christmas and yesterday was one of the busier days. My challenge obligations totally passed me by and it wasn’t until I woke in the night that I found a message from Andrew Chilcraft (regular player and 2013 champion) enquiring as to the status of the competition that I was able to rectify my mistake. I only partially did so – I failed to add the item to the list of opened windows which meant that the current standings table retained the position changes from the day before. Luckily, no-one scored on day 17 so the effects weren’t too pronounced…

The regulations state that the competition is automatically suspended if the window isn’t opened on time, but luckily it is not until the suspension has lasted 24 hours that special arrangements for the restart have to be made – I just about got away with it this time, but I realise this is probably not something I should repeat too often. My sincere apologies for this foul up – I won’t do it again!

Today’s window will be opened before the end of the day. On time. Like it’s meant to be. Let’s crack on!

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